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» Intro [.pdf]
» Authors [.pdf]
» Letter from the Editor [.pdf | html]
» Table of Contents [.pdf]
» Federal Update [.pdf | html]
» State Privatization Update [.pdf | html]
» Tax and Spending Limitations [.pdf | html]
» Emerging Issues
» Social Security Reform [.pdf | html]
» Arctic National Wildlife Refuge [.pdf | html]
» Offshore Outsourcing [.pdf | html]
» Improving Parks Funding and Services with User Fees [.pdf | html]
» Contract Management and Performance [.pdf | html]
» Privatization Going Postal in Japan [.pdf | html]
» Military Housing Privatization [.pdf | html]
» Housing and Land Use [.pdf | html]
» Air Transportation [.pdf | html]
» Surface Transportation [.pdf | html]
» Rail Transportation [.pdf | html]
» Space Travel [.pdf | html]
» Health Care [.pdf | html]
» Water / Wastewater [.pdf | html]
» Corrections [.pdf | html]
» Education [.pdf | html]
» Insurance [.pdf | html]
» Developing Nations [.pdf | html]
» Endnotes [.pdf]
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» Annual Privatization Report 2005
Emerging Issues
Social Security Reform
Social Security, the largest government
program in the world, is finally getting the attention it deserves.
The inherent contradictions that would eventually leave the program
bankrupt have been known about for years, but have for so long been
swept under the rug by politicians too afraid to touch the so-called
"third rail" of politics. Those days are over as the
president and many members of Congress continue to shine the
spotlight on Social Security, exposing the danger and problems of
requiring Americans to rely on a pyramid scheme for their retirement.
Personal retirement accounts would fundamentally change the system
from one that is unfunded to one that is pre-fundeda change
akin to that taking place across corporate America as companies
change from defined benefit programs they cannot fund to defined
contribution programs that workers fund as they work.
To understand what is wrong with Social
Security, we have to first understand exactly how Social Security is
structuredbecause the problem with Social Security is its very
structure, not simply a temporary future shortfall of money that can
be permanently solved with more tax dollars.
Social Security is a pay-as-you-go
system, which means that the Social Security taxes collected today
immediately go out to pay benefits to those who are currently
retired. The money is not set aside anywhere with anyone's name
on it.
In fact, the Supreme Court decided in
1960, in a case called Fleming v. Nestor, that we have no legal right
to our Social Security dollars. The court decided that "To
engraft upon the Social Security system a concept of 'accrued
property rights' would deprive it of the flexibility … it
demands." This is Washington-speak for, if we owned it, the
government would have a hard time taking it away.
So today's workers have to hope
that the next generation of workers will continue to pay increasing
amounts of taxes to support their retirement, and so on and so on.
This worked fine when there were a lot
of workers supporting each retiree. In 1950, for example, there were
16 workers supporting each retired person. Today there are about
three workers supporting each retiree, and soon there will be just
two workers per retiree.
To put this in dollar terms, in 1950,
for one retiree to receive $1,000 a month, each worker had to
contribute just $62.50 a month. Today, the three workers supporting
each retiree each have to contribute $333 a month for that retiree to
receive $1,000. And when there are just two workers per retiree, each
worker will have to pay $500 in Social Security taxes per month for
one retiree to receive $1,000.
This is why there is a crisis and
something needs to be done. Those opposed to reform have wasted a lot
of time arguing that there is no crisis. They insist, instead, that
it's just a really big problem. Even if we accept that it is a
problem and not a crisis, the fact remains that there are fewer and
fewer workers contributing to the system and more and more people
receiving benefits.
And the longer we put off doing
something about it, the worse it is going to get. With every dollar a
person pays in Social Security taxes, that is one more dollar the
government is going to have to collect in the future to pay him when
he retires.
On the other hand, for every dollar a
person is allowed to put into a personal retirement account, that is
one less dollar the government is going to owe him when he retires,
so one less dollar they'll have to take from the next
generation.
In fact, if in 1983, the last time they
made major changes to Social Security, they had allowed workers to
put about 6 percent of their income into personal accounts, Social
Security would have reached permanent solvency 4 years from now.
Instead, it is going to start running permanent deficits in just 13
years. So there's clearly a problem with Social Security as we
know it.
President Bush isn't the first to
notice this. President Clinton, in the mid-90s, acknowledged Social
Security's inherent flaws. Some may recall that the rallying
cry of the Democrats at the time, in response to proposed tax cuts,
was "Save Social Security First." Many of the same
people today are saying there is no problem, no "saving"
needed. President Clinton accepted there was a problem and said
there are three ways to deal with it:
- Raise taxes
- Cut benefits
- Get higher rates of return through market investment
He was right. Raising taxes would
temporarily solve the problem. But this has already been done 20
times. When Roosevelt began the system in 1935, the Social Security
tax was 2 percent on your first $3,000 dollarsthat's a
maximum Social Security tax of just $60 a year. After 20 tax
increases to "fix" the problem it is now 12.4 percent on
your first $90,000a maximum of $11,160 a year, or a $11,100
tax increase.
There are plenty calling for fixing the
current problem by raising taxes one more time. This would fix the
problemuntil it won't and taxes need to be raised one
more time.
The problem could also be dealt with by
cutting benefits. Some readers may remember when the government
supposedly fixed the Social Security problem in the early 80s. One of
the solutions was to start taxing Social Security checksthat
is a benefit cut, more for the government, less for us. They also
decided to raise the retirement agethat is also a benefit cut.
If you are going to live to 85 and they raise the retirement age from
65 to 67, that is 24 months of checks they are taking away that had
already promised. That is less for you and more for the government.
And these are the two options guys like Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid and the AARP are talking about when they say they system just needs to be "tweaked" or "a few moderate changes" will
solve the problem. Sure, raising the Social Security tax from 12.4
percent to say 14 percent may be a moderate change that would help
for nowbut it is not a moderate change when it has already
been done 20 times and increased the tax from $60 to $11,160. And it
will not be a moderate change when they have to keep raising the tax
until it eventually hits 20 percent of our incomewhich the
Social Security Administration says is the amount that will have to
be taken in the foreseeable future to simply pay already promised
benefits.
That brings us to option three,
personal retirement accounts, which is what President Bush is
proposing. This is a proposal to begin pre-funding retirement by
allowing us to keep some of the Social Security tax dollars we are
already paying in an account we own and control.
Personal Retirement Accounts would
allow every American the chance to build a nest egg for retirement,
and have ownership in our society. It would break down the old
division between labor and capital by making every worker an owner.
The workers, as Karl Marx had hoped, would own the means of
production.
We keep hearing about the president's
"plan" but all we really have are some general principles
he has said he'd like to follow. A few bills have been
introduced on Capitol Hill, but none is specifically being pushed by
leadership at this time. Some are better than others, but all the
good bills do have several things in common that will probably be
part of any bill the president signs, as they are consistent with the
principles he's proposed.
One is that personal retirement
accounts would be voluntary. Workers under 55because those
over 55 would see no change in the programwould simply be
allowed to opt into the personal accounts. Every worker would have
the choice of where he or she wanted his or her payroll taxes to go
when they were taken out of each paycheckeither into a
personal retirement account, probably administered by the Social
Security Administration, or to be spent as they are now. Those not
interested in personal accounts would be free to continue under the
current system.
Because this money is coming from
Social Security taxes already being paid, no one would need to come
up with new money to fund his accounts. Most who can afford to do so
already are, in the form of an IRA or a 401(k). This is particularly
important for lower income workers who may not have extra money to
fund an extra account, like the add-on accounts some out-of-touch
politicians are proposing. Personal retirement accounts would give
every worker in the country access to the same powerful savings
vehicle of investing that those who can already afford it have. It
would be the democratization of investing.
Another common feature is that the
money would only be allowed to go into an approved, well-diversified
fund of bonds and stocks. No one would be able to put all his money
in Enron, for example, or on red at the roulette wheel in Vegas, as
Harry Reid, the Democrat leader of the Senate suggested. Of course,
he represents Las Vegas, so maybe he was hoping we would.
Age-appropriate guidelines would be providedfor example, older
workers would be advised to protect themselves by having more money
in bonds as they neared retirement. And there would most likely be
an "automatic option" that would automatically shift a
worker's funds into the mix most age-appropriate.
And, of course, these accounts would be
owned by each worker so they could be passed on when the owner passed
away. This cannot be done under the current system where when a
worker dies at 65, for example, after paying into the system for 45
years, he basically gets nothing for his 45 years of being an honest,
hard-working, taxpaying citizen.
These conservative, diversified funds
would be similar to the ones available in the Thrift Savings Plan
(TSP)the retirement savings option available to every single
federal employee in the United States from our postman to our
congressman. TSP offers federal workers the choice of five funds
from which to choose. TSP.gov has information on how these accounts
have performed over the years. According to that site, the five
funds have returned 5.45, 5.75, 7.72, 11.84 and 11.99 percent over
the past 10 years. Social Security will most likely offer returns
between negative 1 and 1 percent for many of those who will retire in
the years after Social Security begins to run a deficit.
The government gets to keep the
workers' contributionswhich, of course, is why so few in
the government are interested in changing the system. Not only would
they lose out on this money, but they would also lose control over
our retirements, which we would be put in control of if we were
allowed to own our Social Security tax dollars.
Personal retirement accounts that we
own and control would mean the end of the days when every senior has
to go hat-in-hand to the government for his Social Security check.
The government, instead, would have to come to usand I think
we'd all turn the tables and tell them we'd rather keep
more for us and less for the government.
By Max Pappas, Policy Director,
FreedomWorks (http://www.freedomworks.com/)
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